Methods of predicting risk of flash floods

Šaur, David

dc.title	Methods of predicting risk of flash floods	en
dc.contributor.author	Šaur, David
dc.relation.ispartof	ICMT 2017 - 6th International Conference on Military Technologies
dc.identifier.isbn	978-1-5386-1988-9
dc.date.issued	2017
dc.citation.spage	222
dc.citation.epage	229
dc.event.title	6th International Conference on Military Technologies, ICMT 2017
dc.event.sdate	2017-05-31
dc.event.edate	2017-06-02
dc.type	conferenceObject
dc.language.iso	en
dc.publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
dc.identifier.doi	10.1109/MILTECHS.2017.7988760
dc.relation.uri	http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/abstract/document/7988760/
dc.subject	convective storms	en
dc.subject	early warning	en
dc.subject	nowcasting	en
dc.subject	radar precipitation measurement	en
dc.subject	saturation index	en
dc.subject	weather forecast	en
dc.description.abstract	This article is focused on predicting the risk of flash floods which caused considerable material damage in the southeast part of Zlin Region dated August 5, 2016. Principle of forecasting of flash flood is described in the 'Methodology for the use of meteorological radar of the Zlin Region for crisis management.' The purpose of this methodology is to improve the possibilities of early warning of population and notification of crisis management in case of a potential or actual threat of flash floods in the Zlin region. © 2017 IEEE.	en
utb.faculty	Faculty of Applied Informatics
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10563/1007519
utb.identifier.scopus	2-s2.0-85029395359
utb.source	d-scopus
dc.date.accessioned	2017-10-16T14:43:41Z
dc.date.available	2017-10-16T14:43:41Z
utb.contributor.internalauthor	Šaur, David
utb.fulltext.affiliation	David Šaur Faculty of Applied Informatics, Tomas Bata University in Zlin, T.G.Masaryka 5555, 76001, Zlin, [email protected],
utb.fulltext.dates	-
utb.fulltext.references	[1] Climate change.cz [online], Prague: Institute for Global Change Research AV CR, 2016. Available at: http://www.klimatickazmena.cz/cs/?l=49 [2] Convective Weather Maps. Available at: http://www.lightningwizard.com/maps/ [3] Current browser of aerological soundings, Skywarn Czechoslovakia, 2011. Available at: http://sondaze.bourky.cz/ [4] Flash Flood Guidance, Flood Forecast Service of Czech Hydrometeorological Institute. Available at: http://hydro.chmi.cz/hpps/main_rain.php?mt=ffg [5] Forecasting synoptic map of Europe [online], Prague: Czech Hydrometeorological Service, 2016 Avalaible at: http://portal.chmi.cz/predpovedi/predpovedi-pocasi/evropa/synopticka-situace [6] Information guide of prediction and warning service of Czech Hydrometeorological Institute for water managers: Flash floods and possibilities of their prediction - Formation of flash floods [online], Prague: Flood forecasting service of CHMI, 2016. Available at: http://portal.chmi.cz/files/portal/docs/poboc/CB/pruvodce/pruvodce_vodohospodari_ffg.html [7] Information, Notification and Warning System of the Zlín Region, Integrated project, Zlín Region, 2012 Avalaible at: http://www.kr-zlinsky.cz/-informacni-vyrozumivaci-a-varovaci-system-zlinskeho-kraje-integrovany-projekt-cl-1392.html [8] M. Kaspar, “Analyses of gust fronts by means of limited area NWP model outputs”. doi: 10.1016/S0169-8095(03)00066-8. [9] K. Lagouvardos, V. Kotroni, E. Defer and O. Bousquet, “Study of a heavy precipitation event over southern France, in the frame of HYMEX project: Observational analysis and model results using assimilation of lightning”. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2013.07.003. [10] Metoradar KU ZK [online], Zlín, 2015. Available at: https://meteoradar.kr-zlinsky.cz/ [11] P. Novák, “The Czech Hydrometeorological Institute's severe storm nowcasting system”. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2005.09.014 [12] I. Obrusnik, “Crisis caused by weather”. Meteorological news: Meteorological Bulletin [online]. Prague: Czech Hydrometeorological Institute. ISSN 0026-1173. Available at: http://iris.env.cz/ris/ekodisk-new.nsf/e75c7074f3a42826c1256b0100778c9a/4ab2c3258d4743aac12576410026f2b0/$FILE/MZ%202006_6.pdf [13] Overview - Sum 1 h: CZRAD - combination of radars + station - accumulation of precipitation 24 hr, 05.08.2016 22:00 [online]. Flood Forecast Service of Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, 2016 Available at: http://hydro.chmi.cz/hpps/main_rain.php [14] L. Panziera, U. Germann, M. Gabella and P. V. Mandpaka, “NORA-Nowcasting of Orographic Rainfall by means of Analogues: the COALITION approach”. Quarterly. Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 2011. pp. 2106–2123 doi: 10.1002/qj.878. [15] C. E. Pierce, P. J. Hardaker, C. G. Collier and C. M. Haggett, “GANDOLF: a system for generating automated nowcasts of convective precipitation”. doi: 10.1017/S135048270000164X. [16] T. Púčik, “The significance of the hazard index convective storms”. Brno, 2010. Avalaible at: is.muni.cz/th/270272/prif_b/Bakalarska_praca.pdf [17] D. Řezáčová, et al, “Meteorological radars in Physics of clouds and precipitation”. vol. 1. Prague: Academia, 2007, pp. 286-309. ISBN 978-80-200-1505-1. [18] M. Starý,. “Hydrology: Module 1” [online]. Brno, 2005. Available from: http://lences.cz/domains/lences.cz/skola/subory/Skripta/BR51-Hydraulika%20a%20hydrologie%20(K),(V)/M01-Hydrologie.pdf. [19] M. Šálek, P. Novák, “Radar meteorology-nowcasting”. Czech Hydrometeorological Institute. Available at: http://is.muni.cz/el/1431/podzim2012/Z0095/um/nowcasting2012.pdf [20] D. Šaur, “The methodology uses of meteorological radar of the Zlin Region for crisis management”. Zlin, Czech Republic, 2016. [21] D. Šaur, P. Tomášek, “Monitoring and forecasting of intensive convective precipitation with the use of the mobile meteorological radar (MMR50)” In: Proceedings Matec Web of Conferences , CSCC 2016, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/20167605010 [22] D. Šaur, L. Ďuricová, “Comprehensive System of Intense Convective Precipitation Forecasts for Regional Crisis Management”,The Tenth International Conference on Emerging Security Information, System and Technologies, SECURWARE 2016, IARIA, July 24- 28, 2016, pp. 111-116, ISBN: 978-1-64208-493-0. [23] L. Valliappa, J. Crockett, K, Sperow, M. Ba and L. Xin, 2012. „Tuning AutoNowcaster Automatically. Weather and Forecasting“. 27(6): 1568-1579. doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-11-00141.1. ISSN 0882-8156. Available at: http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-11-00141.1 [24] Wetter : Wetterzentrale : Top Karten : Prognose - GFS Europa [online], Available at: http://old.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsavneur.html [25] WRF-ARW 4km [online], Available at: http://www.modellzentrale.de/WRF4km/ [26] FLYMET.info - weather forecast for glider pilots [online], Available at: http://flymet.meteopress.cz/ [27] Zlín Region – Accomodation in the Czech Republic[online], Available at: http://www.ubytovanivcr.cz/kraj-zlinsky.html
utb.fulltext.sponsorship	This work was supported by the Internal Grant Agency of Tomas Bata University under the project No. IGA/FAI/2017/019 “Information Support of Crisis Management at theRegional Level”.
utb.scopus.affiliation	Faculty of Applied Informatics, Tomas Bata University in Zlin, T.G. Masaryka 5555, Zlin, Czech Republic